Saturday, February 11, 2012

Rick Santorum leads Mitt Romney 15 pts in national poll. He can be the Victor Cruz of politics.

The Last Tradition
Saturday, February 11, 2012


Some may feel that Rick Santorum isn’t a real threat to take the GOP nod.

But, nothing about 2012 has been ordinary thus far.

I think Santorum can be the Victor Cruz of politics—undrafted, came out of nowhere to become an impact player for the Super Bowl champs New York Giants.

PPP reports riding a wave of momentum from his trio of victories on Tuesday Rick Santorum has opened up a wide lead in PPP's newest national poll. He's at 38% to 23% for Mitt Romney, 17% for Newt Gingrich, and 13% for Ron Paul.

Part of the reason for Santorum's surge is his own high level of popularity. 64% of voters see him favorably to only 22% with a negative one. But the other, and maybe more important, reason is that Republicans are significantly souring on both Romney and Gingrich. Romney's favorability is barely above water at 44/43, representing a 23 point net decline from our December national poll when he was +24 (55/31). Gingrich has fallen even further. A 44% plurality of GOP voters now hold a negative opinion of him to only 42% with a positive one. That's a 34 point drop from 2 months ago when he was at +32 (60/28).

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